Spain Is Literally Dying
BARCELONA, December 17, 2013 (LifeSiteNews.com) – The Catholic kingdom of Spain once ruled the sea but demographers are warning that if current birth trends continue, Spain as we know it will gradually be washed away.
If population trends continue apace, researchers say that Spain will cross the line to a nation that is literally dying, with the number of deaths outweighing births.
The National Statistics Institute (INE) published its findings in the report "Projections for the Spanish Population 2013-23," released last month. They found that by 2017, there will be an estimated 397,714 births and 404,054 deaths.
Spain's population is already in decline, plunging by 206,000 people last year, to 47.1 million.
Spain has a Total Fertility Rate (TFR) of 1.48 children per woman, below the 2.1 replacement level necessary to keep population stable. Only 10,000 native Spaniards were born in 2012.
Some demographers tie a low birthrate to secularism. More than half – 55.3 percent – of the Spanish population attends religious services “seldom or never.”
Spain continues to have one of the highest unemployment rates in the EU, at 26.7 percent. The problem is more pronounced for young people trying to start a family. One-half of Spain's population under 25 are unemployed.
Because of these factors, another 2.6 million Spaniards will emigrate from the country, further shrinking the population, according to the INE report. In all, analysts expect twice as many people to leave Spain as to migrate there over the next decade.
If population trends continue apace, researchers say that Spain will cross the line to a nation that is literally dying, with the number of deaths outweighing births.
The National Statistics Institute (INE) published its findings in the report "Projections for the Spanish Population 2013-23," released last month. They found that by 2017, there will be an estimated 397,714 births and 404,054 deaths.
Spain's population is already in decline, plunging by 206,000 people last year, to 47.1 million.
Spain has a Total Fertility Rate (TFR) of 1.48 children per woman, below the 2.1 replacement level necessary to keep population stable. Only 10,000 native Spaniards were born in 2012.
Some demographers tie a low birthrate to secularism. More than half – 55.3 percent – of the Spanish population attends religious services “seldom or never.”
Spain continues to have one of the highest unemployment rates in the EU, at 26.7 percent. The problem is more pronounced for young people trying to start a family. One-half of Spain's population under 25 are unemployed.
Because of these factors, another 2.6 million Spaniards will emigrate from the country, further shrinking the population, according to the INE report. In all, analysts expect twice as many people to leave Spain as to migrate there over the next decade.