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Mathematician Proves that Francis Lied

Francis' claim that the Francis journalist Javier Martínez-Brocal "coincidentally" was on the scene when he left a Roman record shop which he privately visited on January 11, was analysed by a statistician for LiberoQuotidiano.it (January 16).

The result: The probability for one of Rome's three million residents to encounter Francis in this moment was 0.0009%. There are 200 journalists accredited with the Holy See. The probability that one of them bumped into Francis was 0.000012%.

During the eight years of Francis’ pontificate, the record shop was open 38,400 half-hour periods in total. The probability that one of the vaticanistas was waiting at a taxi station [as Martînez-Brocal claimed] within a radius of few meters to capture a picture of Francis was 0.000000062%.

Therefore, the probability that Bergoglio was lying about Martínez-Brocal, is 99.999999938%. It can be safely assumed that Martínez-Brocal knew and was waiting for Francis. Martínez-Brocal is not only the director of RomeReports.com which hails Francis, but also the author of the Francis’ hagiography “The Pope of Mercy.”

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Ultraviolet
Logically speaking, no. El Francesco qualifed his claim with "coincidentally". The mathematician proved it was an unlikely coincidence -which is NOT the same as proving it was a falsehood (i.e. not a coincidence at all) or a falsehood told deliberately (i.e. not a coincidence and Francis knew otherwise).
Prayhard
Humble Bergoglio would have sent a factotum out to buy some vinyl. The humble act is a cheap pose, and this is another attempt to keep the con alive.
Maggie212
None of that staging passes the smell test. What is he trying to do? Was it even him, or a double to "prove" he's still active...at least until he can retire a few more traditional cardinals.
Facts Not Lies
@Maggie212 In November 2019 I stated that the SARS-Cov2 was yet another cold in the Corona family and naught to worry more than better application of age-old care already outlined on CDC at the time.

I did not know why they were forcing constraints beyond believability by a thinking person at that time.

I cannot claim the intent of this purported coincidence of one of the popes reporters …More
@Maggie212 In November 2019 I stated that the SARS-Cov2 was yet another cold in the Corona family and naught to worry more than better application of age-old care already outlined on CDC at the time.

I did not know why they were forcing constraints beyond believability by a thinking person at that time.

I cannot claim the intent of this purported coincidence of one of the popes reporters happenstance near where the pope was visiting a shop. I also cannot claim this actually was staged. I CAN side with the math
Fischl
😂 only a coincidence 😂
Scapular
This statistician should be up for a Papal Knighthood! We need more of their fact checking!
Adrien
"Martínez-Brocal is not only the director of RomeReports.com which hails Francis, but also the author of the Francis’ hagiography “The Pope of Mercy.”

If that is the situation then the probabilities that this event is staged are 100% rather than 99,9999 and something %.

Wait a minute... didn't Francis say that?